SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 81.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 4.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-2 with a probability of 18.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.64%) and 0-3 (14.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.38%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seychelles | Draw | Comoros |
4.41% ( -0.17) | 14.47% ( 0.03) | 81.12% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 26.47% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.33% ( -0.89) | 51.67% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.55% ( -0.78) | 73.45% ( 0.78) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 29.57% ( -1.19) | 70.43% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 4.88% ( -0.43) | 95.12% ( 0.42) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.53% ( -0.2) | 10.47% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.9% ( -0.44) | 34.1% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seychelles | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.8% Total : 4.41% | 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.26) 1-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 14.47% | 0-2 @ 18.77% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 16.64% ( 0.45)0-3 @ 14.12% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.18)0-5 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.13)0-6 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.08% Total : 81.11% |
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