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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
 
EN

Malawi
0 - 4
Egypt


Petro (70')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Hamed (4'), Marmoush (16'), Salah (20'), Sayed (49')
Marmoush (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Malawi
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Malawi
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Malawi 0-2 Egypt

Egypt showed their class when the sides squared off in last week's reverse fixture and will be looking to complete the group double over Malawi. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two nations, we are tipping the Pharaohs to come away with another comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.56%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
MalawiDrawEgypt
24.59% (0.539 0.54) 30.02% (0.087 0.09) 45.39% (-0.624 -0.62)
Both teams to score 38.43% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.27% (0.042000000000002 0.04)67.73% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.25% (0.029 0.03)85.75% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (0.54600000000001 0.55)44.98% (-0.545 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (0.433 0.43)80.92% (-0.431 -0.43)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.316 -0.32)30.15% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.382 -0.38)66.3% (0.383 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Malawi 24.59%
    Egypt 45.39%
    Draw 30.01%
MalawiDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 10.83% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.33% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 1.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.59%
0-0 @ 13.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 30.01%
0-1 @ 16.26% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 9.75% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 45.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Malawi
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Bangladesh 1-1 Malawi
Wednesday, March 15 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Lesotho
Saturday, February 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritius 0-2 Malawi
Sunday, July 10 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, July 8 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Lesotho 2-1 Malawi
Wednesday, July 6 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Malawi
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 Egypt
Friday, November 18 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Niger
Friday, September 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 4-1 Egypt
Tuesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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