Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.45%) and 3-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.56%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.
Result | ||
Egypt | Draw | Malawi |
67.71% (![]() | 21.61% (![]() | 10.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 35.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.65% (![]() | 58.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% (![]() | 78.96% (![]() |
Egypt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.44% (![]() | 16.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.66% (![]() | 46.34% (![]() |
Malawi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.27% (![]() | 57.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.55% (![]() | 89.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Egypt | Draw | Malawi |
1-0 @ 17.18% (![]() 2-0 @ 15.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.26% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 67.7% | 0-0 @ 9.56% (![]() 1-1 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 5.25% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 1.39% Total : 10.68% |
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