Zambia
4 - 3
Senegal

Kampamba (18', 64'), Sautu (36'), Banda (58')
Chamanga (43'), Sautu (56'), Kangwanda (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Camara (23'), Diouf (73'), Ndiaye (90')
Tendeng (49')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Semi-Finals clash between Zambia and Senegal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Senegal
26.53%	25.99%	47.48%

Both teams to score 50.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.48%

53.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96%

75.03%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.79%

35.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.04%

71.96%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46%

22.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.88%

56.12%

Score Analysis

Zambia 26.53%

Senegal 47.48%

Draw 25.99%

Zambia	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 8.29% 2-1 @ 6.44% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.53%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-2 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.63% Other @ 3% Total : 47.48%