SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 55%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Mozambique |
55% ( 0.23) | 22.38% ( 0.02) | 22.62% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.27% ( -0.39) | 41.73% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.86% ( -0.4) | 64.13% ( 0.39) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.9% ( -0.06) | 15.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.36% ( -0.11) | 43.63% ( 0.1) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( -0.44) | 32.13% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.39% ( -0.5) | 68.61% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Mozambique |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 55% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 22.62% |
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