SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Morocco |
53.14% ( 2.37) | 26.36% ( -0.35) | 20.5% ( -2.02) |
| Both teams to score 43% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.32% ( -0.64) | 59.68% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% ( -0.49) | 79.99% ( 0.49) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( 0.77) | 22.63% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.74% ( 1.13) | 56.26% ( -1.14) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.58% ( -2.49) | 44.42% ( 2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.53% ( -2.09) | 80.47% ( 2.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 14.93% ( 0.68) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.74)2-1 @ 9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.49)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.64% Total : 53.13% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.46)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.5% |
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