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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
National Complex
SA

Liberia
1 - 2
South Africa

Jebor (35')
Balde (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lepasa (19'), Mayambela (53')
Lepasa (48'), Sithole (76'), Mailula (90'), Mokoena (90+4')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Liberia and South Africa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Liberia
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Liberia
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 12.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.7%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
LiberiaDrawSouth Africa
12.19% (-0.312 -0.31) 22.74% (-0.391 -0.39) 65.07% (0.702 0.7)
Both teams to score 36.66% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.91% (0.699 0.7)59.09% (-0.699 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.46% (0.537 0.54)79.54% (-0.536 -0.54)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.57% (-0.109 -0.11)55.43% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.86% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)88.14% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (0.51100000000001 0.51)17.74% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (0.873 0.87)48.42% (-0.874 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Liberia 12.19%
    South Africa 65.07%
    Draw 22.73%
LiberiaDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 5.8% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-1 @ 2.96% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 1.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 12.19%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.83% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-2 @ 2.56%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 17% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 14.7% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.48% (0.195 0.2)
1-3 @ 5% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
0-4 @ 3.66% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.16% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.27% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 65.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Liberia
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 0-0 Liberia
Sunday, September 25 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 0-2 Morocco
Monday, June 13 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burundi 1-2 Liberia
Tuesday, March 29 at 11am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Sierra Leone
Sunday, March 27 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Liberia
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Angola
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Mozambique
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Botswana
Tuesday, September 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 4-0 Sierra Leone
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Botswana
Sunday, July 17 at 9am in COSAFA Cup


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