SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Botswana |
40.62% ( 0.81) | 27.68% ( -0.6) | 31.7% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% ( 2.09) | 57.61% ( -2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% ( 1.63) | 78.38% ( -1.63) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( 1.47) | 27.82% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( 1.84) | 63.41% ( -1.84) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( 0.94) | 33.42% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( 1.02) | 70.05% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eswatini | Draw | Botswana |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.76)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.7% |
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