SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Botswana |
56.8% ( -1.01) | 27.49% ( 0.07) | 15.71% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 33.71% ( 1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.19% ( 0.82) | 67.81% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.19% ( 0.55) | 85.81% ( -0.54) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( -0.06) | 24.61% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( -0.09) | 59.11% ( 0.09) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.71% ( 1.86) | 55.28% ( -1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.95% ( 1.07) | 88.05% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Botswana |
| 1-0 @ 19.07% ( -0.63) 2-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.46)2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.89% Total : 56.8% | 0-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.42) 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.23% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.19)Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.71% |
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