SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
49.92% ( 0.03) | 24.23% ( 0.01) | 25.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( -0.09) | 46.79% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( -0.09) | 69.05% ( 0.09) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( -0.03) | 18.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.8% ( -0.04) | 50.2% ( 0.05) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.08) | 32.16% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.36% ( -0.09) | 68.64% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 25.85% |
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