SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 82.85%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
6.38% ( -0) | 10.76% ( 0) | 82.85% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.93% ( -0.02) | 23.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.65% ( -0.02) | 42.35% ( 0.02) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0.02) | 43.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.67% ( -0.01) | 79.33% ( 0.01) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.95% ( -0.01) | 4.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.98% ( -0.01) | 17.01% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 6.38% | 1-1 @ 4.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.18% 0-0 @ 1.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 10.76% | 0-3 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 8.07% 0-4 @ 7.68% ( 0)1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0)1-4 @ 6.48% ( -0)0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-5 @ 4.93% 1-5 @ 4.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0)0-6 @ 2.64% 1-6 @ 2.22% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-7 @ 1.21% ( -0)1-7 @ 1.02% ( -0)2-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.98% Total : 82.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
