Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
63.76% ( 0.01) | 20.22% ( -0) | 16.02% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.01% ( -0) | 41.99% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.6% | 64.4% ( -0) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.5% | 12.5% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.5% ( 0) | 38.49% ( -0.01) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.75% ( -0.01) | 39.25% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.04% ( -0.01) | 75.96% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.6% 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.75% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.22% | 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.02% |
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