Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Toulouse
37.09%	29.46%	33.45%

Both teams to score 43.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.54%

63.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.2%

82.8%

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.16%

32.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6%

69.4%

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72%

35.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96%

72.04%

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 37.09%

Toulouse 33.44%

Draw 29.46%

Ajaccio	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.09%	1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.46%	0-1 @ 12.06% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.44%