SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Toulouse | 38 | 49 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajaccio | 38 | 20 | 75 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 38 | 22 | 74 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Toulouse | 38 | 49 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajaccio | 38 | 20 | 75 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 38 | 22 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Toulouse |
| 37.09% | 29.46% | 33.45% |
| Both teams to score 43.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.54% | 63.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.2% | 82.8% |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% | 32.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.6% | 69.4% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% | 35.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.96% | 72.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.09% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.46% | 0-1 @ 12.06% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.44% |
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