MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:31:04
SM
Inter Milan vs. Como: 21 hrs 13 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
M
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
T

Marseille
6 - 1
Toulouse

Rongier (13'), Nicolaisen (41' og.), Kolasinac (51'), Payet (61'), Under (80' pen.), Tavares (82')
Clauss (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
van den Boomen (66' pen.)
Mawissa (79'), van den Boomen (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, November 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Toulouse
Friday, December 16 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Marseille 2-0 Toulouse

Though Marseille have won only one of their last four Ligue 1 home games, they have been presented with a favourable fixture to kick off their post-Christmas campaign and can take maximum points on Thursday. A lack of goals has seen Toulouse toil on the road, and they have already lost to several other top-flight heavyweights this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawToulouse
54.31% (-0.14 -0.14) 22.27% (0.09 0.09) 23.41% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.04% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-0.354 -0.35)40.33% (0.355 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.29% (-0.365 -0.37)62.71% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)14.83% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.85% (-0.323 -0.32)43.14% (0.322 0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)30.67% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08% (-0.18 -0.18)66.92% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 54.31%
    Toulouse 23.41%
    Draw 22.27%
MarseilleDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54.31%
1-1 @ 10.26% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 23.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monaco 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, November 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Spurs
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Marseille
Saturday, October 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Toulouse
Friday, December 16 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, November 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Angers
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .