SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
8.39% ( -0.06) | 13.08% ( 0) | 78.53% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.25) | 27.47% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.92% ( -0.32) | 48.08% ( 0.32) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.23% ( -0.33) | 41.77% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.77% ( -0.29) | 78.23% ( 0.29) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.45% ( -0.04) | 5.55% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.4% ( -0.12) | 21.6% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 8.39% | 1-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 13.08% | 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 9.34% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 6.75% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 1.88% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 5.09% Total : 78.53% |
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