SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Wolfsburg |
44.69% ( 0.69) | 22.57% ( -0.17) | 32.74% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 65.79% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.64) | 34.78% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.25% ( 0.71) | 56.75% ( -0.72) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.84% ( 0.52) | 16.16% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.38% ( 0.93) | 45.61% ( -0.93) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( 0.02) | 21.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( 0.03) | 54.59% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.06)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 32.74% |
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