SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
46.83% ( 0.13) | 23.88% ( -0.03) | 29.29% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.04% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.16% ( 0.08) | 42.84% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.76% ( 0.08) | 65.24% ( -0.07) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( 0.08) | 18.48% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.31% ( 0.14) | 49.69% ( -0.13) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.03) | 27.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( -0.03) | 63.09% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 46.83% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.29% |
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