Wolfsburg will be determined to put an end to their recent losing streak in the Bundesliga, with their win against Leipzig in the DFB-Pokal in midweek likely to have boosted their confidence.
Werder Bremen will be content with avoiding relegation this weekend and having won their last game, we can see them returning to losing ways here.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.03) 
