SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Heidenheim |
42.88% ( -0.28) | 23.88% ( -0) | 33.23% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 61.06% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.95% ( 0.1) | 41.05% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.55% ( 0.1) | 63.44% ( -0.1) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( -0.08) | 19.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.77% ( -0.13) | 51.23% ( 0.13) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 0.21) | 24.23% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% ( 0.3) | 58.57% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.23% |
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