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DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
LL

Wolfsburg
1 - 0
RB Leipzig

Cerny (14')
Lacroix (43'), Vranckx (52'), Kovac (63'), Baku (70'), Pervan (82'), Paredes (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Poulsen (42'), Schlager (45+2'), Lukeba (64'), Simakan (90+7')
Poulsen (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 6-0 FC Koln
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-3 RB Leipzig

With 12 goals at the correct end of the field in their last 270 minutes of football, Leipzig - in spite of a few potential rotations - could enjoy a field day against a wobbly Wolfsburg backline, as was the case in their Bundesliga meetings last season. DFB-Pokal exits to Die Roten Bullen are all too familiar for the hosts, who could still experience a sliver of attacking joy against their injury-hit visitors but cannot be relied upon to keep the back door bolted shut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
28.44% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 23.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 48.18% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 60.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)41.04% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)63.43% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)27.24% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)62.66% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)17.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (0.021999999999998 0.02)47.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 28.44%
    RB Leipzig 48.18%
    Draw 23.38%
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.44%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.25% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 48.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Augsburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 6-0 FC Koln
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-3 Man City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


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