SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
46.99% ( 2.02) | 22.2% ( -0.22) | 30.81% ( -1.8) |
| Both teams to score 66.16% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.23) | 33.89% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.25% ( 0.26) | 55.74% ( -0.26) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( 0.81) | 14.99% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.56% ( 1.52) | 43.43% ( -1.52) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( -0.89) | 22.17% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( -1.36) | 55.57% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.1)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.34% Total : 30.81% |
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