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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
S

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Szoboszlai (25', 49')
Rose (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fuhrich (68' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 1-6 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, January 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-0 Stuttgart

With Stuttgart likely to be missing key personnel through injury and suspension, we expect Leipzig's impressive run of results to continue with a comfortable victory on Friday night. Rose's side are unbeaten in 15 matches in all competitions and appear to be Bayern's biggest threat at the top of the table on current form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.72%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
67.72% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.96% (0.0010000000000012 0) 14.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)34.82% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.79% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56%9.44% (0.0010999999999992 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.29%31.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)73.73% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.72%
    Stuttgart 14.32%
    Draw 17.96%
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.61%
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.12%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 67.72%
1-1 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 4.82%
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.96%
1-2 @ 4.08%
0-1 @ 3.47%
0-2 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 14.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Schalke 1-6 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, January 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Bayern
Friday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-4 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Stuttgart
Friday, November 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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