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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 24, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
LL

Schalke
1 - 6
RB Leipzig

Kozuki (56')
Frey (79')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Silva (7', 44'), Henrichs (15'), Werner (45+2'), Olmo (83'), Poulsen (89')
Kampl (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Schalke
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Bayern
Friday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Schalke 04 0-3 RB Leipzig

History does not always repeat itself in football, but Leipzig have posted a trio of goal-laden successes versus Schalke with clean sheets in tow recently and should make lightning strike for a fourth time here. Die Roten Bullen have struggled for inspiration and defensive resilience away from home all season long, but Rose's side have seemingly turned a corner on their travels and should have no problem deepening Schalke's demotion woes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawRB Leipzig
15.02%18.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 66.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.95% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)9.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.36% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 15.02%
    RB Leipzig 66.68%
    Draw 18.3%
Schalke 04DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 4.24%
1-0 @ 3.57%
2-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
3-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 15.02%
1-1 @ 8.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.3%
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 7.55%
0-3 @ 7.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 4.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 66.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Schalke
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 0-2 Bayern
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 1-0 Mainz
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Schalke
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 0-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Bayern
Friday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-4 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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