SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
23.82% ( 0.1) | 21.65% ( -0.02) | 54.53% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.8% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.07% ( 0.19) | 36.93% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.89% ( 0.21) | 59.11% ( -0.2) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( 0.18) | 28.47% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( 0.23) | 64.24% ( -0.22) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( 0.05) | 13.6% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.27% ( 0.09) | 40.74% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 23.82% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.53% |
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