SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
52.82% ( 0.09) | 22.32% ( 0.02) | 24.86% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.96% ( -0.18) | 39.04% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.64% ( -0.19) | 61.36% ( 0.19) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.12% ( -0.03) | 14.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.77% ( -0.06) | 43.22% ( 0.06) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0.18) | 28.8% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( -0.22) | 64.65% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.15% 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 4.06% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 24.86% |
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