SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
47.85% ( -0.01) | 23.99% ( -0) | 28.16% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( 0.02) | 44.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( 0.02) | 66.42% ( -0.02) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( 0.01) | 18.54% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.22% ( 0.01) | 49.78% ( -0.01) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( 0.02) | 28.97% ( -0.02) |
