Both managers will rest important players for this match, so it is difficult to know exactly what to expect, but Union Berlin's form is so disappointing. Stuttgart will enter this game off the back of a defeat, but we are backing them to advance to the next round of the German Cup courtesy of a narrow success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
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