SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Stuttgart |
38.26% ( 0.54) | 25.6% ( 0.31) | 36.13% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.58% ( -1.45) | 48.42% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.44% ( -1.33) | 70.55% ( 1.33) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -0.37) | 24.84% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% ( -0.51) | 59.44% ( 0.51) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( -1.15) | 26.02% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( -1.58) | 61.06% ( 1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.13% |
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