Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Wolfsburg |
53.47% ( -0.27) | 21.98% ( 0.04) | 24.54% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 61.45% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.23% ( 0.04) | 37.77% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.98% ( 0.04) | 60.02% ( -0.04) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.78% ( -0.08) | 14.22% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.04% ( -0.15) | 41.96% ( 0.14) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% ( 0.2) | 28.36% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% ( 0.25) | 64.1% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 24.54% |
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