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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
W

Stuttgart
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Guirassy (67' pen., 78', 82')
Undav (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerhardt (34')
Svanberg (5'), Wind (42'), Vranckx (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Wolfsburg

Providing that Stuttgart have their key offensive players available - particularly Guirassy, who has been irresistible so far this season - then we can envisage them moving to the top of the Bundesliga table by recording another win on Saturday. Wolfsburg represent a solid outfit under Kovac, but they remain inconsistent in terms of results, and the former Bayern Munich boss must work out a way to help his side perform better on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
53.47% (-0.273 -0.27) 21.98% (0.041 0.04) 24.54% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.45% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)37.77% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.98% (0.037999999999997 0.04)60.02% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)14.22% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.04% (-0.146 -0.15)41.96% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.199 0.2)28.36% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.249 0.25)64.1% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 53.48%
    Wolfsburg 24.54%
    Draw 21.98%
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.48%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 24.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Friday, September 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 Freiburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 5-1 Stuttgart
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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