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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
HL

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Fuhrich (61'), Undav (73')
Rouault (21'), Fuhrich (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Promel (4'), Weghorst (21' pen.), Skov (66')
Akpoguma (17')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim

Both teams' firepower will almost certainly be blunted by missing their star strikers through injury, with Stuttgart likely to feel the absence of Guirassy in particular given his superb start to the season. Their winning run surely has to come to an end sooner rather than later, and we believe that Hoffenheim have enough about them to avoid defeat on Saturday, with both managers set to be desperate to get one over on their former clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
47.7% (-0.201 -0.2) 22.22% (-0.02 -0.02) 30.08% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 65.63% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (0.22199999999999 0.22)34.4% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.251 0.25)56.31% (-0.255 -0.25)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)14.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)43.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.238 0.24)22.85% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.353 0.35)56.58% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.7%
    Hoffenheim 30.08%
    Draw 22.22%
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Friday, September 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 Freiburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, September 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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