SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Union Berlin |
33.44% ( -0.07) | 24.35% ( -0.01) | 42.2% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.45% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( 0.02) | 43.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( 0.02) | 65.6% ( -0.01) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( -0.03) | 25.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.17% ( -0.05) | 59.83% ( 0.05) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( 0.04) | 20.61% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( 0.07) | 53.15% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.2% |
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