SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong Ajax |
66.33% ( 0.35) | 18.44% ( -0.11) | 15.22% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.81% ( 0.03) | 35.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.8% ( 0.04) | 57.2% ( -0.04) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.13% ( 0.09) | 9.86% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.29% ( 0.22) | 32.71% ( -0.22) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( -0.28) | 36.01% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.21% ( -0.28) | 72.79% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 4.28% Total : 66.33% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.44% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 15.22% |
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