Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
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