SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
40.94% ( -0.56) | 23.01% ( 0.11) | 36.05% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 65.13% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( -0.45) | 36.05% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.85% ( -0.49) | 58.15% ( 0.5) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% ( -0.42) | 18.17% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.84% ( -0.72) | 49.16% ( 0.73) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( 0.02) | 20.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% ( 0.04) | 52.84% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.82% Total : 40.94% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.05% |
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