SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 67.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
67.38% ( -0.02) | 18.81% ( 0.01) | 13.81% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.84% ( -0.04) | 40.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.48% ( -0.04) | 62.52% ( 0.04) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.02% ( -0.02) | 10.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.76% ( -0.04) | 35.24% ( 0.04) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% ( -0.02) | 41.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.36% ( -0.02) | 77.64% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-0 @ 11% 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.48% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 4.12% Total : 67.37% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.81% | 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.81% |
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