SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
52.6% ( 0.98) | 22.55% ( -0.24) | 24.85% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% ( 0.41) | 40.12% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.51% ( 0.43) | 62.48% ( -0.43) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( 0.49) | 15.33% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.92% ( 0.91) | 44.08% ( -0.9) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( -0.36) | 29.39% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( -0.44) | 65.37% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.6% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.23% Total : 24.85% |
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