Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
MVV Maastricht | Draw | De Graafschap |
24.29% (![]() | 22.46% (![]() | 53.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% (![]() | 40.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.35% (![]() | 62.65% (![]() |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% (![]() | 29.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.97% (![]() | 66.03% (![]() |
De Graafschap Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.83% (![]() | 15.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.23% (![]() | 43.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
MVV Maastricht | Draw | De Graafschap |
2-1 @ 6.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 24.29% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 9.74% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 53.26% |
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