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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | De Graafschap |
24.29% ( 0.02) | 22.46% ( 0) | 53.26% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.45% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( -0.01) | 40.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( -0.01) | 62.65% ( 0.01) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( 0.01) | 29.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( 0.01) | 66.03% ( -0.01) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.83% ( -0.01) | 15.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.23% ( -0.02) | 43.77% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 24.29% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 53.26% |
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