SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Helmond Sport |
49.41% ( -0.23) | 24.62% ( -0.13) | 25.98% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( 0.84) | 48.35% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( 0.76) | 70.49% ( -0.75) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( 0.23) | 19.6% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.46% ( 0.38) | 51.54% ( -0.38) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 0.75) | 32.89% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% ( 0.82) | 69.46% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 49.4% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.98% |
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