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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 68.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
68.95% ( 0.01) | 17.74% ( -0) | 13.3% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.74% ( -0) | 36.25% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.62% ( -0) | 58.37% ( 0.01) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.47% ( 0) | 9.53% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.07% ( 0.01) | 31.92% ( -0.01) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.68% ( -0.02) | 39.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.98% ( -0.01) | 76.02% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.57% 4-0 @ 4.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.24% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 2.08% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 4.3% Total : 68.95% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.74% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 13.3% |
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