Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 68.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
0.01) 
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