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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
38.8% ( -3) | 24.68% ( 0.38) | 36.51% ( 2.62) |
| Both teams to score 58.87% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.79% ( -1.35) | 44.21% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.41% ( -1.32) | 66.58% ( 1.32) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -2.02) | 22.67% ( 2.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( -3.09) | 56.32% ( 3.09) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( 0.84) | 23.86% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.94% ( 1.18) | 58.06% ( -1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.27)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.62)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.57)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.33)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.51% |
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