SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 56.57%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
56.57% ( -0.07) | 21.53% ( 0.02) | 21.9% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.3% ( -0.05) | 38.7% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39% ( -0.06) | 61% ( 0.06) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( -0.04) | 13.57% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.33% ( -0.08) | 40.67% ( 0.08) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 0.01) | 31.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( 0.01) | 67.4% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.57% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 21.9% |
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