Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.01) 
