SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
41.2% ( 0.1) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 34.07% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.27% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.05) | 44.81% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.04) | 67.17% ( -0.04) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( 0.07) | 21.76% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.06% ( 0.1) | 54.94% ( -0.1) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.02) | 25.53% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( -0.04) | 60.38% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.07% |
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