Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 79.4%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 7.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Roda JC win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.06) 
