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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 53%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Helmond Sport |
53% ( -0.22) | 23.14% ( 0.09) | 23.86% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( -0.28) | 43.82% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( -0.27) | 66.21% ( 0.27) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( -0.18) | 16.52% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.74% ( -0.32) | 46.26% ( 0.32) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0.04) | 32.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( -0.05) | 68.7% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 53% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 23.86% |
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