SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.89%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Cambuur |
32.19% ( -0.03) | 22.08% ( 0.01) | 45.73% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 67.41% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.43% ( -0.05) | 32.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.77% ( -0.05) | 54.22% ( 0.05) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0.04) | 20.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.59% ( -0.06) | 53.4% ( 0.06) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( -0.01) | 14.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.68% ( -0.02) | 43.31% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.19% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.66% 2-4 @ 2.09% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.73% |
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