SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | De Graafschap |
23.28% ( -0.89) | 22.44% ( -0.52) | 54.28% ( 1.41) |
| Both teams to score 58.27% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( 1.41) | 41.27% ( -1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.34% ( 1.42) | 63.66% ( -1.42) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( 0.02) | 31.3% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( 0.02) | 67.66% ( -0.03) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.83% ( 0.98) | 15.17% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.22% ( 1.82) | 43.78% ( -1.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.36)2-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.74% Total : 23.28% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.12)1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.11)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.89% Total : 54.28% |
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