Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	De Graafschap
23.28% ( -0.89)	22.44% ( -0.52)	54.28% ( 1.41)

Both teams to score 58.27% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

1.41)

41.27% (

-1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.34% (

1.42)

63.66% (

-1.42)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69% (

0.02)

31.3% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.34% (

0.02)

67.66% (

-0.03)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.83% (

0.98)

15.17% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.22% (

1.82)

43.78% (

-1.82)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 23.28%

De Graafschap 54.28%

Draw 22.44%

Helmond Sport	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.74% Total : 23.28%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.89% Total : 54.28%