SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | De Graafschap |
32.96% ( -0.04) | 23.5% ( 0.06) | 43.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.35% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.67% ( -0.3) | 39.32% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( -0.31) | 61.66% ( 0.31) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0.17) | 23.56% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( -0.24) | 57.62% ( 0.23) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( -0.13) | 18.42% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.4% ( -0.22) | 49.59% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 43.53% |
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