SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong AZ |
58.45% ( -0.06) | 22.64% ( 0) | 18.92% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( 0.07) | 47.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( 0.07) | 69.88% ( -0.06) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( 0) | 16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.68% ( 0.01) | 45.32% |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% ( 0.11) | 39.2% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.09% ( 0.1) | 75.91% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 58.44% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.92% |
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