Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 52.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0) 
