Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.01) 
