SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
64.49% ( -0.57) | 18.59% ( 0.22) | 16.9% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 61.26% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.55% ( -0.44) | 32.44% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.92% ( -0.51) | 54.07% ( 0.5) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.46% ( -0.25) | 9.54% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.05% ( -0.6) | 31.95% ( 0.59) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% ( 0.11) | 32.27% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% ( 0.12) | 68.77% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.59% | 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 16.9% |
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