SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | De Graafschap |
50.78% ( -0.55) | 22.72% ( 0.21) | 26.5% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.91% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.61% ( -0.68) | 39.39% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.27% ( -0.71) | 61.73% ( 0.71) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( -0.43) | 15.7% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.24% ( -0.81) | 44.76% ( 0.81) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.1) | 27.75% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( -0.13) | 63.32% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.73% Total : 50.78% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.5% |
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